Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6a7…f9db
crypto · 71 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$10
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses43 / 27
Open positions1
Markets (closed)70 / 71
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Yes 84¢ 98¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 5? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $4 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 7? Jun 07 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 7? Jun 07 $4 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6? Jun 06 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6? Jun 06 $4 +$1 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6? Jun 06 $5 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6? Jun 05 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5? Jun 05 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$4 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $4 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5? Jun 05 $4 $0 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Apr 07 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Apr 07 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Apr 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Apr 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 07 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Apr 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Apr 06 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 06 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Apr 06 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Apr 06 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Apr 06 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Apr 06 $3 +$2 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 62% +$2
crypto 38% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 84¢ $9 45m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? SELL Yes 98¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $9 4h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? SELL Yes 98¢ $10 24h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 26h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? SELL Yes 98¢ $10 28h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? BUY Yes 87¢ $9 29h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? SELL Yes 98¢ $10 45h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? BUY Yes 88¢ $9 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 7? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 4d
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7? BUY Yes 87¢ $4 5d
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 7? BUY Yes 93¢ $5 5d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 7? BUY Yes 87¢ $4 5d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6? SELL Yes 98¢ $2 5d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6? SELL Yes 98¢ $3 5d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6? BUY Yes 88¢ $4 5d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6? SELL Yes 84¢ $4 6d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6? BUY Yes 84¢ $4 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6? BUY Yes 88¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $0 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +2.1% -7.6% 88% 41% -6.0%
≤30d 29 +0.3% -9.2% 83% 31% -8.5%
≤90d 70 -16.1% -24.1% 61% 37% -15.7%
all 70 -16.1% -24.1% 61% 37% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.1% 37% -15.7%
10% -31.3% 26% -23.8%
15% -38.0% 23% -31.2%
20% -44.0% 6% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.94 · official $9.73 (match) · 167 history records