Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:01:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6b3…9441
sports · 106 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$7,399 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,956 · open −$1,379
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,096
Realized+$6,956
Unrealized−$1,379
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses57 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$1,498
Open positions2
Markets (closed)104 / 106
History coverage20d
Avg bet$967
Trades / day35.6
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,338
7 days+$2,542
14 days+$3,878
30 days+$6,956
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 77¢ 91¢ $924 $1,092 +$168 (+18%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 67¢ 26¢ $2,551 $1,004 −$1,547 (-61%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Andrey Rublev 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jan-Lennard Struff 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $227 +$513 +226%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,130 +$301 +27%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $304 −$242 -80%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $756 −$672 -89%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $468 −$468 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $572 +$245 +43%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $345 +$943 +273%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,704 +$770 +45%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,419 −$1,396 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $367 −$367 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $27 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $253 +$521 +206%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $573 −$573 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $317 −$315 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1,530 +$435 +28%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $561 −$561 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,133 +$516 +46%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $576 +$1,551 +269%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,454 +$3,622 +249%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $807 +$1,040 +129%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $227 +$523 +231%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,212 −$1,055 -87%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $414 −$383 -92%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $283 +$1,017 +360%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $89 −$89 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $153 −$153 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1,087 −$1,087 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $886 +$209 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$3 +42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $469 +$490 +104%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $390 −$371 -95%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $918 −$808 -88%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,792 +$2,153 +120%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $363 +$37 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $679 −$549 -81%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $790 +$425 +54%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 11 $1,501 −$1,055 -70%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $2,115 −$2,115 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,728 +$8 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $388 +$489 +126%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $194 −$2 -1%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $1,431 +$9 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $700 −$700 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $1,792 −$892 -50%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 09 $673 −$673 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,406 +$503 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,320 +$103 +8%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $1,928 −$1,928 -100%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $1,370 −$557 -41%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,709 −$245 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$4,805
other 3% +$773
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $924 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $102 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $17 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $9 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $4 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $89 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $40 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $44 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $8 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $292 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $15 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $43 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $141 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 61¢ $814 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $739 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 62¢ $677 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 84¢ $151 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $17 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $782 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 80¢ $190 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 80¢ $100 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 80¢ $22 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $21 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $125 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $141 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $28 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $227 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $1,019 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +10.8% +0.2% 53% 42% -4.9%
≤30d 104 +11.6% +0.9% 55% 40% -3.1%
≤90d 104 +11.6% +0.9% 55% 40% -3.1%
all 104 +11.6% +0.9% 55% 40% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.9% 40% -3.1%
10% -8.7% 40% -12.3%
15% ← realistic here -17.5% 34% -20.8%
20% -25.6% 28% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,096.34 · official $2,096.34 (match) · 787 history records