Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:16:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6bd…9b7e
crypto · 415 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$492 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$491 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized+$491
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses221 / 193
Open positions1
Markets (closed)414 / 415
History coverage1d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day2137.9
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 414 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$491
7 days+$491
14 days+$491
30 days+$491
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 16¢ 50¢ $9 $30 +$21 (+226%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 46¢ 50¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$19 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $197 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $94 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$13 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$14 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $115 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$15 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$14 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $178 −$23 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$14 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $187 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $157 +$41 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$8 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $92 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $203 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $142 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$17 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$18 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +122%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$492
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $15 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 +1.4% -8.2% 53% 37% -7.7%
≤30d 414 +1.4% -8.2% 53% 37% -7.7%
≤90d 414 +1.4% -8.2% 53% 37% -7.7%
all 414 +1.4% -8.2% 53% 37% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2137.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 37% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 24% -16.5%
15% -25.0% 17% -24.6%
20% -32.4% 13% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.73 · official $47.73 (match) · 3500 history records