Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:06:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
B6 0xb6c0…6b03 crypto 217 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (183 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$620 (+12%) realized +$620 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate58%126W / 91L
Drawdown17%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day183.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$950
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (183 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 +11.4% +0.8% 58% 45% +6.4%
≤30d 217 +11.4% +0.8% 58% 45% +6.4%
≤90d 217 +11.4% +0.8% 58% 45% +6.4%
all 217 +11.4% +0.8% 58% 45% +6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover183.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.8% 45% +6.4%
10% ← realistic here -8.8% 35% -3.7%
15% -17.6% 28% -13.0%
20% -25.7% 22% -21.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +18% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late +14% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$10 · ×1.46 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×2.02 per $1 lost it wins $2.02
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$620
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses126 / 91
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)217 / 217
History coverage4d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day183.0
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 217 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $10 +$3 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $49 +$18 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 28 $17 +$23 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $199 +$19 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $40 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$14 +752%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $344 +$65 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $55 +$32 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $30 +$19 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $200 +$271 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$6 +127%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 28 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$55 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 27 $17 −$13 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $30 +$25 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$12 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$10 +197%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 27 $35 +$12 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 27 $39 +$26 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$11 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$5 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$8 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 27 $161 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 27 $30 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $15 −$10 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 27 $50 +$16 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 27 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $64 +$63 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $61 −$14 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $109 +$22 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $57 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $43 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $40 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $156 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $20 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $30 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $68 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $30 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $21 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $10 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $2.23 · 900 history records