Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:25:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6ce…7a7d
sports · 127 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28,773 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29,688 · open +$1,647
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50,791
Realized+$29,688
Unrealized+$1,647
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses77 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$9,349
Open positions12
Markets (closed)115 / 127
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5,864
Trades / day627.9
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20,368
7 days+$29,688
14 days+$29,688
30 days+$29,688
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 38¢ 100¢ $3,813 $10,146 +$6,333 (+166%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 44¢ 64¢ $5,779 $8,477 +$2,697 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 71¢ 100¢ $3,351 $4,718 +$1,366 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 77¢ 98¢ $3,610 $4,586 +$976 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 66¢ 100¢ $2,736 $4,173 +$1,438 (+53%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 78¢ 100¢ $3,175 $4,069 +$894 (+28%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 67¢ 100¢ $2,497 $3,731 +$1,234 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 55¢ 68¢ $2,356 $2,914 +$559 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 37¢ 32¢ $2,417 $2,122 −$295 (-12%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 57¢ 100¢ $1,005 $1,749 +$744 (+74%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 60¢ 59¢ $1,508 $1,493 −$15 (-1%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Vitality 71¢ 64¢ $1,233 $1,118 −$115 (-9%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 29¢ 36¢ $885 $1,073 +$188 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 20¢ 20¢ $300 $308 +$8 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 46¢ 36¢ $137 $107 −$30 (-22%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 29¢ 0¢ $2,281 $4 −$2,277 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 29¢ 0¢ $1,352 $2 −$1,350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 26¢ 0¢ $796 $0 −$796 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 30¢ 0¢ $501 $0 −$501 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 28¢ 0¢ $351 $0 −$351 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 43¢ 0¢ $1,862 $0 −$1,862 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $11,597 +$3,413 +29%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,996 −$50 -1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,380 +$3,678 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $24,725 −$2,718 -11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $7,171 +$2,460 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10,278 +$2,090 +20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3,738 +$130 +4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,345 −$1,745 -52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $14,148 +$2,004 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $189 +$33 +17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$7 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,086 +$2,518 +82%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,911 +$1,883 +27%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,544 +$2,078 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,970 +$715 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,731 −$1,068 -16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,310 +$938 +28%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30,462 −$6,040 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $667 −$425 -64%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12,776 +$1,075 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,835 +$685 +37%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $512 −$501 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $14 +$5 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $846 +$299 +35%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7,922 +$1,655 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4,963 +$1,365 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8,983 −$4,406 -49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,262 +$2,525 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4,492 +$169 +4%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $205 +$184 +90%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9,651 +$1,393 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $8,791 +$387 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $813 −$796 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,346 +$1,287 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6,497 +$1,705 +26%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $351 −$351 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,918 +$1,458 +37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $39 +$18 +46%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $5,431 −$224 -4%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $3,450 +$2,377 +69%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,013 −$357 -18%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $6,745 +$1,076 +16%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4,709 +$176 +4%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5,734 −$735 -13%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $839 +$474 +56%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $16,819 −$6,672 -40%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,309 +$1,367 +59%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $769 +$224 +29%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5,789 +$4,507 +78%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $2,539 +$555 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$31,335
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 22¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 44¢ $660 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 57¢ $638 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $916 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $97 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $1,380 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $94 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $75 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 55¢ $837 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $5 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $30 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $807 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 52¢ $11 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 51¢ $766 8m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Vitality 73¢ $51 9m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Vitality 71¢ $790 9m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $236 10m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 62¢ $630 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 84¢ $1,267 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 78¢ $149 15m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 60¢ $317 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 36¢ $551 16m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $536 16m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $505 17m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 33¢ $338 17m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $321 19m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 57¢ $580 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 10¢ $300 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 81¢ $1,223 25m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 21¢ $645 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +9.4% -1.1% 67% 55% -5.4%
≤30d 115 +9.4% -1.1% 67% 55% -5.4%
≤90d 115 +9.4% -1.1% 67% 55% -5.4%
all 115 +9.4% -1.1% 67% 55% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover627.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.1% 55% -5.4%
10% -10.5% 40% -14.5%
15% ← realistic here -19.2% 26% -22.7%
20% -27.1% 14% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50,790.66 · official $48,134.02 · 3500 history records