Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:48:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6d2…d67b
sports · 774 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$21,229 +120%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,812 · open +$35
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$198
Realized+$1,812
Unrealized+$35
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses485 / 273
Est. fees paid−$229
Open positions8
Markets (closed)758 / 774
History coverage8d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day268.8
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 8 History 758 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$385
7 days+$789
14 days+$1,812
30 days+$1,812
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Under 50¢ 69¢ $54 $75 +$21 (+39%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 56¢ 79¢ $29 $40 +$12 (+42%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 54¢ 60¢ $26 $28 +$2 (+9%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 80¢ 100¢ $21 $26 +$5 (+25%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 32¢ 40¢ $15 $19 +$4 (+27%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Under 58¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+233%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+206%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+150%)
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Legacy 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+270%)
Kovacevic vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5 Over 77¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+30%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 43¢ 48¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Rwanda 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Galway United FC vs. Dundalk FC: O/U 1.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner G2 Esports 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+103%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 25¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+300%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+122%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+138%)
Demin vs. Chepelev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Under 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Spirit 20¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+400%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 23¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+334%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 20¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+400%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Gigantes de Carolina vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce Jun 14 $38 +$5 +14%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 14 $41 −$36 -88%
Aguada Santeros vs. Mets de Guaynabo Jun 14 $37 +$5 +13%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $109 +$41 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $72 +$1 +1%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 14 $81 −$5 -6%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $59 +$60 +102%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $15 +$13 +89%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $59 +$26 +44%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $109 +$15 +13%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 14 $6 +$3 +40%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 14 $19 +$15 +81%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $14 −$1 -10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $45 +$1 +3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $112 +$20 +18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $90 +$54 +60%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $5 +$5 +97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 +$3 +124%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $7 +$8 +119%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 +$4 +188%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $80 +$20 +24%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 14 $16 +$3 +17%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +72%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $111 +$31 +28%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $251 +$20 +8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $280 −$280 -100%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $8 +$4 +49%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $92 +$21 +23%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $119 +$15 +13%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $50 +$49 +98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $80 +$74 +93%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $22 +$52 +234%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 +$3 +31%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $8 +$3 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$1,857
other 8% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 32¢ $12 9m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 31¢ $3 10m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 10¢ $1 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 10¢ $1 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 10¢ $1 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 10¢ $1 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 10¢ $1 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 10¢ $1 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 10¢ $1 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 33¢ $3 21m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 14¢ $0 22m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 13¢ $1 23m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 13¢ $1 23m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 13¢ $1 25m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 50¢ $8 26m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 27¢ $18 27m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 26¢ $1 27m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 78¢ $24 34m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 46¢ $4 34m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 60¢ $62 35m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 41¢ $4 36m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 47¢ $1 37m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 28¢ $6 39m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 61¢ $19 42m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 63¢ $19 42m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 65¢ $5 53m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $6 56m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 50¢ $55 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 54¢ $3 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $58 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 643 +35.9% +22.9% 64% 57% -3.8%
≤30d 758 +30.2% +17.8% 64% 57% +0.1%
≤90d 758 +30.2% +17.8% 64% 57% +0.1%
all 758 +30.2% +17.8% 64% 57% +0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.8% 57% +0.1%
10% ← realistic here +6.6% 48% -9.5%
15% -3.7% 33% -18.2%
20% -13.2% 16% -26.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $197.97 · official $176.48 · 3500 history records