Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:39:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6ec…107a
crypto · 1953 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$126 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$644 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$644
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses974 / 730
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1704 / 1953
History coverage48d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day44.7
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$24
14 days+$913
30 days+$686
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $18 +$8 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $7 +$4 +57%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $7 $0 +6%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $7 −$2 -30%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 10 $5 $0 -6%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $3 +$8 +276%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 08 $5 $0 -4%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $5 $0 -6%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $10 +$3 +30%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $5 −$3 -64%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $60 +$1 +1%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $5 $0 -7%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 05 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 05 $39 +$23 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 05 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 05 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$3 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 05 $6 +$12 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$629
sports 1% +$9
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +7.3% -2.9% 52% 24% -1.4%
≤30d 1111 +20.9% +9.4% 60% 59% +0.3%
≤90d 1704 +14.0% +3.1% 57% 56% -2.2%
all 1704 +14.0% +3.1% 57% 56% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.1% 56% -2.2%
10% ← realistic here -6.7% 56% -11.5%
15% -15.7% 55% -20.1%
20% -24.0% 52% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3149 history records