trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 67% | 33% | -22.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -6.1% | -15.1% | 62% | 25% | -14.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 64% | 27% | -14.9% |
| all | 15 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 60% | 20% | -15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.7% | 20% | -15.4% |
| 10% | -33.7% | 13% | -23.5% |
| 15% | -40.1% | 7% | -30.9% |
| 20% | -46.0% | 7% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | $76 | $76 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $65 | $64 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 84¢ | $51 | $51 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $53 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $64 | +$9 | +14% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +22% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 16 | $74 | −$40 | -54% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 22 | $3 | −$1 | -24% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 22 | $224 | +$6 | +2% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | May 14 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Feb 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February? | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | +2% |