Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:16:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B6 0xb6ef…5eb0 crypto 641 markets active 2d ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (150 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$493 (+5%) realized +$493 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate48%312W / 332L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day150.1pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$121
14 days−$285
30 days−$341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$256
other 2% −$8
sports 0% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (150 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 -15.1% -23.2% 44% 42% -19.4%
≤30d 644 -6.4% -15.3% 48% 41% -12.5%
≤90d 644 -6.4% -15.3% 48% 41% -12.5%
all 644 -6.4% -15.3% 48% 41% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover150.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 41% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 35% -20.8%
15% -30.8% 30% -28.5%
20% -37.6% 24% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$493
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses312 / 332
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)644 / 641
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day150.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 644 Trades
no open positions (177 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $14 +$6 +43%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$9 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$10 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$1 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +189%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$7 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$3 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +129%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $12 41h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 70¢ $5 44h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 70¢ $0 44h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 70¢ $8 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records