Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T03:48:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
B7 0xb703…1a39 other 16 markets active 1h ago coverage 256d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$3,193 (+12%) realized +$3,193 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR78%break-even
Win rate78%7W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,720per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$572
7 days+$572
14 days+$572
30 days+$572
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 54% −$2,106
sports 46% +$5,758
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +78%
net ROI/market (all)+0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +42.4% +28.8% 100% 100% +30.6%
≤30d 2 +42.4% +28.8% 100% 100% +30.6%
≤90d 2 +42.4% +28.8% 100% 100% +30.6%
all 9 +10.9% +0.4% 78% 78% +9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.4% 78% +9.9%
10% ← realistic here -9.2% 44% -0.7%
15% -18.0% 44% -10.3%
20% -26.0% 22% -19.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 64% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +44% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1,202 vs −$2,383 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.77 per $1 lost it wins $1.77
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

256d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,193
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses7 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 16
History coverage256d
Avg bet$1,720
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 9 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $696 +$469 +67%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $593 +$103 +17%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) Oct 31 $3,507 +$3,214 +92%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) Oct 31 $2,999 +$508 +17%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29? Oct 29 $7,934 −$4,590 -58%
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? Oct 29 $3,818 +$1,798 +47%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3) Oct 28 $6,108 +$2,210 +36%
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-14? Oct 14 $522 +$114 +22%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Legacy (BO3) Oct 14 $175 −$175 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? AND BUY 59¢ $877 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? BUY 53¢ $10 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? AND BUY 46¢ $277 1h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,165 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? AND BUY 58¢ $1 5h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 60¢ $336 5h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 58¢ $360 7h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? SELL Yes 96¢ $697 7h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND BUY 3¢ $2 7h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND BUY 2¢ $1 7h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND BUY 3¢ $1 7h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND BUY 2¢ $1 7h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND BUY 1¢ $1 7h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 81¢ $593 8h
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) SELL Legacy 100¢ $6,721 238d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) BUY Legacy 54¢ $280 238d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) BUY Legacy 54¢ $109 238d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) BUY Legacy 54¢ $1,000 238d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) BUY Legacy 50¢ $500 238d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) BUY Legacy 52¢ $1,000 238d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) BUY Legacy 51¢ $607 238d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3) BUY Legacy 45¢ $11 238d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) BUY Aurora Gaming 86¢ $2,999 239d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29? BUY No 58¢ $3,540 240d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29? SELL No 53¢ $3,344 240d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29? BUY No 70¢ $4,394 240d
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? BUY No 71¢ $500 241d
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? BUY No 69¢ $1,000 241d
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? BUY No 67¢ $500 241d
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? BUY No 66¢ $818 241d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $1,151.72 · 38 history records