Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:07:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb713…662a
crypto · 854 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses291 / 563
Open positions0
Markets (closed)854 / 854
History coverage125d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$6
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$2 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -19.4% -27.0% 24% 12% -26.2%
≤30d 137 -5.9% -14.9% 42% 39% -14.6%
≤90d 527 +2.9% -6.9% 29% 28% -16.0%
all 854 -1.7% -11.1% 34% 31% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 31% -12.8%
10% -19.6% 27% -21.1%
15% -27.4% 22% -28.7%
20% -34.5% 17% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2023 history records