Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb715…69e9
crypto · 145 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$44 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses82 / 62
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)144 / 145
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day18.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 01 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 01 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 01 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 01 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 01 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$3 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$40
sports 4% +$4
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -40.9% -46.5% 30% 30% -28.6%
≤30d 144 +4.9% -5.1% 57% 53% -3.7%
≤90d 144 +4.9% -5.1% 57% 53% -3.7%
all 144 +4.9% -5.1% 57% 53% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.1% 53% -3.7%
10% -14.2% 49% -13.0%
15% -22.5% 46% -21.4%
20% -30.1% 41% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.97 · official $1.97 (match) · 337 history records