Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:28:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb718…68ac
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$185 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$168 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$482
Realized+$168
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage116d
Avg bet$217
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$168
7 days+$168
14 days+$168
30 days+$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $420 $411 −$9 (-2%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 74¢ 72¢ $74 $72 −$2 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $349 +$170 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% +$159
sports 9% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 74¢ $78 1h
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 68¢ $441 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $349 18h
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 116d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-32.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -25.7% -32.7% 50% 50% +33.8%
≤30d 2 -25.7% -32.7% 50% 50% +33.8%
≤90d 2 -25.7% -32.7% 50% 50% +33.8%
all 2 -25.7% -32.7% 50% 50% +33.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.7% 50% +33.8%
10% -39.2% 50% +21.0%
15% -45.0% 50% +9.3%
20% -50.4% 0% -1.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $482.24 · official $482.24 (match) · 6 history records