Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:57:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb71b…9d7a
crypto · 276 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses128 / 148
Open positions0
Markets (closed)276 / 276
History coverage18d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 276 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$4
14 days−$5
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 38¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? No $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 37¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 43¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 74¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$9 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -84%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$8 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -91%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -90%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$10 -65%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$3 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$4 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$10 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $6 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $7 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down $1 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $26 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -10.3% -18.8% 49% 44% -10.0%
≤30d 276 -7.0% -15.8% 46% 43% -10.8%
≤90d 276 -7.0% -15.8% 46% 43% -10.8%
all 276 -7.0% -15.8% 46% 43% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 43% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 36% -19.4%
15% -31.2% 31% -27.1%
20% -38.0% 23% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 626 history records