Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:31:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B7 0xb722…1098 crypto 1193 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (350 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$770 (-22%) realized −$762 · open −$8
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate46%644W / 747L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day349.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$38now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% −$146
other 15% −$37
sports 1% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (350 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 954 -26.1% -33.1% 43% 37% -66.2%
≤30d 1391 -19.2% -26.9% 46% 41% -56.3%
≤90d 1391 -19.2% -26.9% 46% 41% -56.3%
all 1391 -19.2% -26.9% 46% 41% -56.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover349.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.9% 41% -56.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.9% 36% -60.5%
15% -40.3% 29% -64.3%
20% -46.1% 19% -67.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -52% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -52% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$6 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.16 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$38
Realized−$762
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses644 / 747
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1391 / 1193
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day349.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 1391 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET Down 30¢ 24¢ $11 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET Down 36¢ 34¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 59¢ 69¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 39¢ 28¢ $8 $5 −$2 (-29%)
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 45¢ 28¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET Up 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 44¢ 31¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 493 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $29 −$38 -132%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17? Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $17 −$17 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12? Jun 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Sabres vs. Canadiens Jun 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21? Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21? Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 21? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 18 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 18 $9 −$9 -101%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $8 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $8 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $18 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.69 · official $39.17 · 3500 history records