trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +118% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +92% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? | May 29 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? | May 29 | $6 | −$5 | -77% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | May 26 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? | May 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Nice win on 2026-05-26? | May 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $68 | −$66 | -98% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? | May 12 | $49 | −$47 | -97% |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21? | May 12 | $52 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $499 | +$222 | +44% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -43.0% | -48.5% | 29% | 29% | -48.4% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -60.9% | -64.6% | 19% | 19% | -93.2% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -59.8% | -63.6% | 21% | 21% | -8.7% |
| all | 24 | -59.8% | -63.6% | 21% | 21% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.6% | 21% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -67.1% | 17% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -70.3% | 17% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -73.2% | 12% | -32.8% |