Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:55:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb724…9b0d
weather · 193 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$113
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses183 / 8
Open positions2
Markets (closed)191 / 193
History coverage120d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 191 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$3
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $74 $74 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $39 $39 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $69 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $52 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $135 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 10? Jun 11 $137 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $118 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $127 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 8? Jun 09 $56 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on June 8? Jun 08 $124 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $73 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 7? Jun 07 $101 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 6? Jun 06 $129 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 4? Jun 05 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 4? Jun 04 $122 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 3? Jun 03 $125 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 2? Jun 02 $122 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 1? Jun 02 $131 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 1? Jun 01 $129 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 31? Jun 01 $125 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 30? May 31 $133 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 29? May 30 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28? May 29 $57 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ma May 28 $94 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 27? May 28 $130 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 26? May 26 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May May 25 $68 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23? May 24 $73 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23? May 23 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 23? May 23 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 22? May 22 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21? May 22 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20? May 21 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20? May 20 $1 −$1 -51%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 19? May 20 $93 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 17? May 17 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 16? May 16 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15? May 15 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 14? May 14 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 14? May 14 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 13? May 14 $71 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 12? May 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on Ma May 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 10? May 10 $56 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 9? May 09 $49 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 8? May 08 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 8? May 08 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 7? May 08 $36 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 7? May 07 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 96% +$14
politics 1% $0
sports 1% +$1
tech 1% −$2
crypto 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $39 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $74 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $69 25h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $8 38h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $52 2d
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $135 3d
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $137 3d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $118 5d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $10 5d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $127 5d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $56 5d
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $124 6d
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $73 7d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $101 8d
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $129 8d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $16 9d
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $122 10d
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $125 11d
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $122 12d
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $131 12d
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 1? BUY No 99¢ $30 13d
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 1? BUY No 99¢ $99 13d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 31? BUY No 100¢ $125 14d
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $133 15d
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 29? BUY No 100¢ $1 16d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28? BUY No 99¢ $57 17d
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ma BUY No 100¢ $94 17d
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 27? BUY No 99¢ $130 18d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $1 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 39 -1.1% -10.5% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 158 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -9.4%
all 191 -0.2% -9.7% 96% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $113.36 · official $113.36 (match) · 414 history records