Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T04:51:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb72b…d302 crypto 34 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (135 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$85 (+5%) realized +$85 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate71%24W / 10L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day135.0pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$4
other 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (135 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +3.0% -6.8% 71% 24% -10.1%
≤30d 34 +3.0% -6.8% 71% 24% -10.1%
≤90d 34 +3.0% -6.8% 71% 24% -10.1%
all 34 +3.0% -6.8% 71% 24% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover135.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 24% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 21% -18.7%
15% -23.8% 6% -26.5%
20% -31.3% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
54% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$12 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses24 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day135.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $102 −$20 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $102 −$22 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $78 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 26 $51 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $76 −$21 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 26 $152 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 26 $76 −$19 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 26 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 26 $77 −$28 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $51 +$25 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 26 $77 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $56 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 26 $77 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 26 $78 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 26 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 26 $76 +$2 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $6 $0 -1%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $127 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $23 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $25 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $24 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $24 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $40 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $16 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $33 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $28 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $39 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $26 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 157 history records