Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:10:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb72f…be48
sports · 11 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$22
Realized−$8
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)7 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 47¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+111%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Guido Justo 83¢ 87¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+4%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Thiago Cigarran 18¢ 13¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-27%)
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Nicolas Kicker 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Laura Samson 62¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 39¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 63¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $2 −$1 -23%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $3 −$1 -16%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $8 −$5 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 39¢ $1 22m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 62¢ $1 22m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $1 25m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $1 25m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 91¢ $1 32m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 21¢ $1 40m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 40m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 40m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 21¢ $1 40m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 20¢ $1 40m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 40m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 40m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 20¢ $1 40m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 83¢ $1 42m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 85¢ $1 43m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 87¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 63¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 35¢ $1 1h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 85¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 100¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 33¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 21¢ $1 1h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 65¢ $1 1h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 65¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 21¢ $1 1h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 35¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-36.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -29.8% -36.5% 29% 14% -31.6%
≤30d 7 -29.8% -36.5% 29% 14% -31.6%
≤90d 7 -29.8% -36.5% 29% 14% -31.6%
all 7 -29.8% -36.5% 29% 14% -31.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.5% 14% -31.6%
10% ← realistic here -42.5% 14% -38.1%
15% -48.1% 14% -44.1%
20% -53.2% 0% -49.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.07 · official $22.07 (match) · 63 history records