Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:39:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb730…c9d7 crypto 994 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$61 (-1%) realized −$61 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate79%789W / 205L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day58.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$3
14 days−$19
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -2.9% -12.1% 70% 49% -9.0%
≤30d 655 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 22% -11.5%
≤90d 994 -4.9% -13.9% 79% 29% -11.8%
all 994 -4.9% -13.9% 79% 29% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 29% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 14% -20.3%
15% -29.7% 5% -28.0%
20% -36.6% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
59% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses789 / 205
Open positions0
Markets (closed)994 / 994
History coverage34d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day58.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 994 Trades
no open positions (106 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$4 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2258 history records