Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T06:16:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B7 0xb73e…65ef crypto 141 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (469 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$92 (+2%) realized +$91 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate61%74W / 47L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day469.0pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$62now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$174
other 1% −$1
finance 0% −$6
tech 0% +$3
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (469 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -8.5% -17.2% 61% 29% -12.7%
≤30d 121 -8.5% -17.2% 61% 29% -12.7%
≤90d 121 -8.5% -17.2% 61% 29% -12.7%
all 121 -8.5% -17.2% 61% 29% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover469.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 29% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 11% -21.0%
15% -32.3% 7% -28.7%
20% -39.0% 4% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$15 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$62
Realized+$91
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses74 / 47
Open positions20
Markets (closed)121 / 141
History coverage1d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day469.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 20 History 121 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? No 71¢ 87¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+23%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 83¢ 88¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 52¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No 73¢ 57¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-21%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy) No 56¢ 67¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+20%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Yes 75¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Yes 89¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No 64¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 89¢ 88¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
US bank failure by June 30? No 95¢ 91¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? Yes 54¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? Yes 92¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 12 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$8 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$23 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $72 +$5 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $81 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $6 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $103 −$16 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $105 −$102 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $103 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 19 $102 +$43 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $205 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +26%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18? Jun 19 $6 +$1 +15%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$6 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $51 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $25 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $104 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $78 +$41 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$8 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $52 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $77 +$8 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $62 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $77 −$3 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $103 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $36 +$5 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $48 −$27 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $51 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $77 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $11 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $11 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $12 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $12 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $8 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $22 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $24 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $11 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.35 · official $61.80 (match) · 494 history records