Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:00:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb740…2ec1
sports · 462 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,263 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,263 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$70
Realized−$3,263
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses259 / 201
Est. fees paid−$353
Open positions2
Markets (closed)460 / 462
History coverage288d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 460 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$122
7 days+$174
14 days−$4,749
30 days−$2,627
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Raducanu 60¢ 59¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 50¢ 50¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 64¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Berrettini 64¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Miguel Damas 52¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Andrea Guerrieri 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 62¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 +$49 +97%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $145 +$94 +65%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $101 +$77 +76%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $30 +$32 +105%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $152 −$150 -99%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $102 +$107 +105%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $101 +$58 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $150 +$72 +48%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $86 +$33 +38%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 06 $51 +$33 +65%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Jun 05 $101 +$38 +38%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $101 +$63 +63%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $131 −$130 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $90 +$93 +103%
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5) Jun 03 $30 −$30 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 03 $41 −$41 -100%
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 03 $40 −$40 -100%
Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Schnaitter/Wallner Jun 03 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Jun 03 $31 −$31 -100%
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 03 $45 −$45 -100%
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 03 $68 −$68 -100%
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5) Jun 03 $51 −$51 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemund Jun 03 $51 −$51 -100%
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka Jun 03 $38 −$38 -100%
Vicenza: Marco Cecchinato vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu Jun 03 $51 −$51 -100%
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5) Jun 03 $51 −$51 -100%
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 03 $61 −$61 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main C Jun 03 $71 −$71 -100%
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 03 $71 −$71 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia Jun 03 $75 −$75 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesana Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidanse Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korn Jun 03 $151 −$151 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fa Jun 03 $151 −$151 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 03 $192 −$150 -78%
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 03 $92 −$92 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Jun 03 $202 −$202 -100%
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolar Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweigh Jun 03 $112 −$112 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy Jun 03 $101 −$101 -100%
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm Jun 03 $235 −$235 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Jun 03 $203 −$203 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$3,234
other 4% −$40
crypto 1% +$30
world 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $30 1h
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 60¢ $40 1h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 59¢ $101 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 42¢ $31 23h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $51 23h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 60¢ $145 25h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 56¢ $101 39h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $30 47h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas BUY Miguel Damas 52¢ $152 2d
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 48¢ $102 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 63¢ $101 3d
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau BUY Jan-Lennard Struff 67¢ $150 3d
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant BUY Tyra Caterina Grant 64¢ $101 5d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? SELL Yes 84¢ $119 5d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 60¢ $86 6d
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) BUY Andreeva 60¢ $51 6d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew BUY Alexandra Eala 72¢ $101 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 62¢ $131 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 61¢ $101 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva SELL Mirra Andreeva 93¢ $184 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Mirra Andreeva 45¢ $90 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Berrettini 64¢ $103 9d
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell BUY Christopher OConnell 54¢ $40 9d
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 52¢ $70 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Joao Fonseca 67¢ $101 10d
Foggia: Lisa Zaar vs Tyra Caterina Grant SELL Tyra Caterina Grant 72¢ $119 10d
Foggia: Lisa Zaar vs Tyra Caterina Grant BUY Tyra Caterina Grant 58¢ $98 10d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY GamerLegion 67¢ $237 10d
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea BUY Mirra Andreeva 67¢ $227 11d
Perugia: Remy Bertola vs Francesco Maestrelli SELL Remy Bertola 49¢ $227 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +19.7% +8.3% 69% 69% +3.6%
≤30d 89 -22.9% -30.3% 45% 45% -28.2%
≤90d 293 -14.6% -22.7% 56% 53% -22.5%
all 460 -8.1% -16.9% 56% 55% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 55% -17.0%
10% -24.8% 49% -24.9%
15% -32.1% 39% -32.2%
20% -38.8% 25% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.63 · official $69.63 (match) · 1001 history records