trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -35.6% | -41.8% | 30% | 30% | -12.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -35.2% | -41.4% | 27% | 27% | -20.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -24.6% | -31.7% | 44% | 39% | -15.1% |
| all | 18 | -24.6% | -31.7% | 44% | 39% | -15.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.7% | 39% | -15.1% |
| 10% | -38.3% | 33% | -23.3% |
| 15% | -44.2% | 28% | -30.7% |
| 20% | -49.7% | 17% | -37.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | Under | 53¢ | 76¢ | $3,710 | $5,285 | +$1,575 (+42%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 34¢ | 22¢ | $3,400 | $2,250 | −$1,150 (-34%) |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Spain | 33¢ | 32¢ | $990 | $975 | −$15 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 15¢ | $500 | $848 | +$348 (+70%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $500 | $317 | −$183 (-37%) |
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $54 | −$53 | -98% |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $1,518 | −$1,500 | -99% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $3,565 | +$5,645 | +158% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 24 | $509 | +$711 | +140% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada? | Jun 24 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $4,047 | −$4,000 | -99% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 | Jun 23 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $1,012 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $505 | +$230 | +46% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $5,381 | −$1,653 | -31% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 24 | $1,436 | +$837 | +58% |
| Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China? | May 23 | $101 | +$38 | +37% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? | May 22 | $1,008 | +$236 | +23% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their | May 14 | $502 | +$43 | +9% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 14 | $1,015 | +$176 | +17% |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 13 | $405 | −$400 | -99% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 13 | $302 | −$300 | -99% |