trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | -67.5% | -70.6% | 0% | 0% | -77.3% |
| all | 62 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 29% | 29% | -29.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.4% | 29% | -29.1% |
| 10% | -38.0% | 27% | -35.9% |
| 15% | -44.0% | 26% | -42.1% |
| 20% | -49.5% | 24% | -47.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | No | 43¢ | 44¢ | $226 | $229 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 27¢ | 35¢ | $145 | $187 | +$42 (+29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 11 | $48 | −$46 | -96% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | May 11 | $50 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 | Mar 07 | $460 | −$460 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 | Feb 21 | $666 | +$666 | +100% |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-20? | Feb 20 | $243 | −$243 | -100% |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw? | Feb 20 | $333 | −$333 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Feb 18 | $550 | −$550 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Feb 12 | $620 | +$396 | +64% |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | Feb 09 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Feb 07 | $330 | −$330 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 | Feb 02 | $555 | −$555 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Feb 01 | $465 | −$465 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Jazz | Jan 30 | $1,330 | −$1,330 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? | Jan 29 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Heat | Jan 29 | $700 | +$1,007 | +144% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Jan 27 | $854 | +$671 | +79% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 | Jan 26 | $595 | +$700 | +118% |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22? | Jan 22 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5 | Jan 17 | $562 | −$562 | -100% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31? | Jan 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Nuggets | Jan 09 | $620 | −$620 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Rangers | Jan 08 | $690 | −$690 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5 | Jan 08 | $1,000 | +$1,083 | +108% |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5 | Jan 07 | $213 | −$213 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Jan 07 | $1,020 | +$502 | +49% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Jan 03 | $690 | −$690 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Sharks | Jan 03 | $338 | −$338 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5 | Jan 02 | $452 | −$452 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-11.5) | Jan 01 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | Jan 01 | $19 | +$87 | +456% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Jan 01 | $205 | +$28 | +14% |
| Bulls vs. Hawks | Dec 21 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| Islanders vs. Sabres | Dec 20 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Dec 14 | $361 | +$441 | +122% |
| Blackhawks vs. Blues | Dec 13 | $550 | +$550 | +100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Dec 09 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Nets | Dec 06 | $280 | −$280 | -100% |
| Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? | Dec 05 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spread: 76ers (-3.5) | Dec 05 | $420 | +$474 | +113% |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw? | Dec 01 | $100 | +$355 | +354% |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 30 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. 76ers | Nov 30 | $448 | −$448 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Heat | Nov 30 | $300 | +$450 | +150% |
| Avalanche vs. Predators | Nov 22 | $223 | −$223 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Ducks | Nov 19 | $367 | −$367 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Nets | Nov 18 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Red Wings | Nov 18 | $380 | −$380 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Sabres | Nov 18 | $75 | +$108 | +144% |
| Islanders vs. Avalanche | Nov 17 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |