Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb75d…7086
crypto · 35 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$191 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$191 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$191
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses12 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)34 / 35
History coverage27d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$95
7 days−$95
14 days−$95
30 days−$191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$42 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$24 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $142 +$10 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$26 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$15 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$11 +50%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $101 −$90 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $5 +$5 +103%
Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? May 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$5
other 24% −$181
world 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $22 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $42 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-52.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -24.3% -31.5% 52% 33% -20.9%
≤30d 34 -47.3% -52.3% 35% 24% -29.5%
≤90d 34 -47.3% -52.3% 35% 24% -29.5%
all 34 -47.3% -52.3% 35% 24% -29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -52.3% 24% -29.5%
10% -56.9% 15% -36.2%
15% -61.1% 9% -42.4%
20% -64.9% 6% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.01 · official $10.01 (match) · 108 history records