Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:34:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb763…51e3
crypto · 104 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$146 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$141 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$141
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses29 / 72
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)101 / 104
History coverage5d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$141
14 days−$141
30 days−$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 68¢ 62¢ $14 $12 −$1 (-10%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Solana reach $80 June 8-14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 8? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $70 on June 10? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $58 −$51 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 10? Jun 10 $16 −$15 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$11 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 08 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $17 −$17 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$146
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $14 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $6 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-33.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 -26.0% -33.0% 29% 28% -24.8%
≤30d 101 -26.0% -33.0% 29% 28% -24.8%
≤90d 101 -26.0% -33.0% 29% 28% -24.8%
all 101 -26.0% -33.0% 29% 28% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.0% 28% -24.8%
10% ← realistic here -39.4% 28% -32.0%
15% -45.3% 25% -38.6%
20% -50.6% 20% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.34 · official $15.34 · 293 history records