Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T11:36:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B7 0xb763…4a90 sports 1395 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (179 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,413 (+0%) realized +$1,471 · open −$58
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%1356W / 5L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$227per market
Trades / day179.2pace
Fees−$97est.
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$1,450now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$474
7 days+$1,887
14 days−$102
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 87% −$625
other 13% +$455
world 0% +$10
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (179 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 923 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 1361 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 1361 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -9.6%
all 1361 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover179.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.4% 0% -26.1%
20% -32.7% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$751 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$1,450
Realized+$1,471
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1356 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions30
Markets (closed)1361 / 1395
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$227
Trades / day179.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 30 History 1361 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 99¢ 100¢ $664 $671 +$6 (+1%)
Tomic vs. Gannon: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $120 $120 +$1 (+1%)
Set 1 Winner: Ku vs Stefanini Ku 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Peeters vs. Tan: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $89 $90 +$1 (+1%)
Perot vs. Bertrand: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $89 $90 +$0 (+1%)
Perot vs. Bertrand: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $120 $61 −$59 (-49%)
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Mannarino Mensik 96¢ 100¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+4%)
Dias vs. Choinski: Match O/U 21.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Astakhova vs. Basiletti: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Meza vs. Bondioli: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Noskova vs. Zarazua: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Ku vs. Stefanini: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Meza vs. Bondioli: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Ristic vs. Chiesa: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Mensik vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Magdalena Frech vs. Eva Lys: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Almeida/Escurra vs. Britez/Nunez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Olivieri vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Ristic vs. Chiesa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Kessler vs. Volynets: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Mees Rottgering vs. Peter Buldorini: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Olivieri vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Almeida/Escurra vs. Britez/Nunez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Perricard vs. Moutet: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 8 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tomic vs. Gannon: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $120 +$1 +1%
Tomic vs. Gannon: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $44 $0 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Petja Drame vs Nadja Mladenovic Jun 16 $45 $0 +1%
Danilina/Krunic vs. Muhammad/Stollar: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $79 +$1 +1%
Bellucci vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $17 $0 +1%
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros Jun 16 $877 +$9 +1%
Willwerth vs. Zhou: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Galan vs. Piros: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Galan vs. Piros: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ribecai vs. Squire: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Frech vs Lys Jun 16 $119 +$1 +1%
Frech vs. Lys: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Luca Parenti vs. Lorenzo Berto: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $13 +$1 +8%
Barton vs. Coppejans: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ribecai vs. Squire: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Keys vs Wang Jun 16 $612 +$6 +1%
Gurri vs. Santamarta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Barton vs. Coppejans: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Aurora Corvi vs. Amelie Justine Hejtmanek: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $120 +$1 +1%
Tange vs. Sinclair: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $78 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Astakhova vs Basiletti Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Batalla vs. Passaro: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Grabher vs. Paquet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Meza vs. Bondioli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Meza vs. Bondioli: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Milovanovic vs. Perez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ferguson vs. Yamanaka: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $94 +$1 +1%
Yuna Sugiyama vs. Miyu Nishiwaki: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $96 +$1 +1%
Arina Varaksina vs. Ayumi Miyamoto: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $88 +$1 +1%
Varaksina vs. Miyamoto: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $98 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Yodpetch (-1.5) vs Arakawa (+1.5) Jun 16 $96 +$1 +1%
ITF Sapporo: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Hee Rae Im Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Zhang vs. Imai: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $69 +$1 +1%
Sugiyama vs. Nishiwaki: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $89 +$1 +1%
Mo vs. Charlton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $120 +$1 +1%
ITF Sapporo: Kanon Sawashiro vs Yujin Kim Jun 16 $81 +$1 +1%
Kusuhara vs. Matsuoka: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $89 +$1 +1%
Kawaguchi vs. Kitahara: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $98 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Kanemaki vs Das Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Kanemaki vs. Das: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand? Jun 16 $933 +$9 +1%
Criciúma EC leading at halftime? Jun 16 $302 +$3 +1%
Criciúma EC vs. Ceará SC: Draw at halftime? Jun 16 $37 $0 +1%
Londrina EC leading at halftime? Jun 16 $1,050 +$11 +1%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $1,000 +$10 +1%
ITF Tauste: Belle Thompson vs Celia Anson Sanchez Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Carlos Maria Zarate vs. Juan Sebastian Gomez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Zarate vs. Gomez: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez Jun 15 $1,580 +$18 +1%
Zarate vs. Gomez: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tomic vs. Gannon: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $120 8m
Mees Rottgering vs. Peter Buldorini: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 99¢ $5 9m
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Mannarino BUY Mensik 96¢ $24 11m
Kessler vs. Volynets: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 13m
Magdalena Frech vs. Eva Lys: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 99¢ $5 19m
Buse vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 20m
Olivieri vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 21m
Mensik vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 23m
Dias vs. Choinski: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 24m
Olivieri vs. Rehberg: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 25m
Ristic vs. Chiesa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 26m
Noskova vs. Zarazua: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 29m
Ristic vs. Chiesa: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 35m
Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 36m
Cecchinato vs. Caniato: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 36m
Set 1 Winner: Ku vs Stefanini BUY Ku 99¢ $99 37m
Ku vs. Stefanini: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 40m
Sweeny vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 42m
Perot vs. Bertrand: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $120 42m
Bellucci vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 99¢ $17 42m
Astakhova vs. Basiletti: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 49m
Sweeny vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 49m
Perot vs. Bertrand: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $89 50m
Tomic vs. Gannon: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $44 52m
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros BUY Daniel Galan 99¢ $12 53m
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros BUY Daniel Galan 99¢ $19 53m
Jade vs. Zhu: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 54m
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros BUY Daniel Galan 99¢ $7 54m
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros BUY Daniel Galan 99¢ $79 55m
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros BUY Daniel Galan 99¢ $1 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,449.72 · official $1,507.43 · 3500 history records