Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:21:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb764…a172
crypto · 448 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses256 / 292
Open positions2
Markets (closed)548 / 448
History coverage3d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day968.0
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$352
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 52¢ 48¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 64¢ 50¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 59¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-13%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 12PM ET? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 8PM ET? No 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 11PM ET? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 3AM ET? No 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 6AM ET? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 10AM ET? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 10, 7AM ET? No 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 7, 12PM ET? No 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 11, 10AM ET? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 2PM ET? No 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 10, 7AM ET? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? No 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 9AM ET? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 9AM ET? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? No 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 9, 12PM ET? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? No 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 2PM ET? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 9AM ET? No 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 6AM ET? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 7, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 9, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 7, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 6, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 7, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin above 60,800 on June 6, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 9, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 7, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$793
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $23 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $18 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $9 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 548 -20.6% -28.1% 47% 34% -9.4%
≤30d 548 -20.6% -28.1% 47% 34% -9.4%
≤90d 548 -20.6% -28.1% 47% 34% -9.4%
all 548 -20.6% -28.1% 47% 34% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover968.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.1% 34% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.0% 22% -18.1%
15% -41.3% 12% -26.0%
20% -47.0% 7% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.18 · official $39.55 · 3500 history records