Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T06:05:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb769…c57b crypto 64 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$90 (-6%) realized −$73 · open −$17
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%61W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day69.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$11now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -14.9%
≤30d 63 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -14.9%
≤90d 63 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -14.9%
all 63 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 0% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -23.0%
15% -26.8% 0% -30.4%
20% -34.0% 0% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$51 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.14 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$11
Realized−$73
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses61 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)63 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 63 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 99¢ 38¢ $28 $11 −$17 (-62%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 25 $27 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $96 −$96 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $22 −$6 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 25 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 25 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 24 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 24 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 24 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 24 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 24 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 24 $21 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $16 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.51 · official $6.02 · 131 history records