Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:33:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb772…9418 crypto 1594 markets active 5d ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (151 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$78 (-0%) realized −$78 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate75%1498W / 501L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day150.8pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,497
7 days−$2,449
14 days−$2,105
30 days−$2,074
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% +$325
other 10% +$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (151 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-28.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 615 -72.7% -75.3% 26% 4% -61.6%
≤30d 1999 -21.0% -28.5% 75% 8% -18.5%
≤90d 1999 -21.0% -28.5% 75% 8% -18.5%
all 1999 -21.0% -28.5% 75% 8% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover150.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.5% 8% -18.5%
10% ← realistic here -35.4% 3% -26.3%
15% -41.6% 1% -33.4%
20% -47.3% 0% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -44% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$6 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.31 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1498 / 501
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1999 / 1594
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day150.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1999 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records