Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb776…0e0c
crypto · 798 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$221 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$219 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$219
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses582 / 212
Open positions4
Markets (closed)794 / 798
History coverage50d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 794 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$25
14 days−$44
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 0¢ 32¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+26%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 6? No 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2? No 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$202
weather 8% −$21
other 3% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $0 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 600 -0.8% -10.3% 83% 68% -12.2%
≤30d 641 -2.4% -11.7% 80% 66% -15.4%
≤90d 794 -5.9% -14.9% 73% 60% -19.8%
all 794 -5.9% -14.9% 73% 60% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 60% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 16% -27.5%
15% -30.5% 8% -34.5%
20% -37.3% 6% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.74 · official $0.51 (match) · 1607 history records