Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:23:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb777…3ff9
other · 583 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19,042 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19,232 · open +$254
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,094
Realized−$19,232
Unrealized+$254
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses183 / 501
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$1,139
Open positions155
Markets (closed)684 / 583
History coverage22d
Avg bet$209
Trades / day151.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 155 History 684 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22,947
7 days−$22,254
14 days−$16,713
30 days−$19,232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 69¢ 81¢ $2,569 $3,033 +$464 (+18%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 75¢ 80¢ $1,625 $1,745 +$120 (+7%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 94¢ 100¢ $187 $200 +$12 (+7%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $104 $104 +$0 (+0%)
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B? Yes 94¢ 90¢ $93 $90 −$3 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Yes 55¢ 64¢ $54 $63 +$9 (+16%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $60 $58 −$2 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? No 79¢ 100¢ $39 $50 +$10 (+27%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Yes 66¢ 74¢ $44 $49 +$5 (+11%)
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.55B? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $48 $48 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? No 93¢ 94¢ $48 $48 +$0 (+0%)
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-0%)
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-1%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Can You Be My Enemy vs SCARZ (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage Can You Be My Enemy 11¢ 9¢ $57 $47 −$10 (-18%)
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B? Yes 94¢ 91¢ $47 $45 −$2 (-4%)
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B? Yes 88¢ 80¢ $49 $45 −$4 (-9%)
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B? No 82¢ 75¢ $41 $38 −$4 (-9%)
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? Yes 88¢ 93¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+6%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $38 $35 −$3 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? No 69¢ 73¢ $32 $34 +$2 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? No 62¢ 66¢ $31 $33 +$2 (+6%)
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B? No 25¢ 30¢ $26 $32 +$6 (+23%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? Yes 51¢ 56¢ $28 $30 +$2 (+9%)
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June? No 76¢ 76¢ $31 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.7B? Yes 74¢ 55¢ $37 $28 −$10 (-26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 18? Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 17? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will Hayle Gibson-Stillwell win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 20 Jun 13 $1 +$5 +432%
Will Damian Brennan win Saddle Bronc Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Team Rey (BO3) - MPL Mala Jun 13 $2 +$2 +117%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Selangor Red Giants (BO3) - MP Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs FORZE Esports (BO3) - MLBB Con Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Will Riley Webb win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Champio Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indo Jun 13 $0 $0 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Verso Time (BO3) - MLBB Conti Jun 13 $482 −$483 -100%
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -84%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Kincade Henry win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Cham Jun 13 $72 −$74 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 16 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $169 −$169 -100%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 1 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Jun 13 $156 −$156 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $0 −$61 -13556%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 13 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $995 −$995 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $636 −$636 -100%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-22? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$5,449
other 9% −$181
crypto 5% −$1,917
politics 4% +$156
world 1% −$4
tech 1% +$20
weather 1% +$100
finance 1% −$157
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America Lea SELL LOUD 34¢ $4 0m
Rainbow Six Siege: INTZ vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South America League St SELL INTZ 20¢ $4 1m
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A BUY Fluxo W7M 76¢ $0 2m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 64¢ $4 3m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 69¢ $32 4m
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League S SELL EDward Gaming 43¢ $53 7m
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League S SELL EDward Gaming 44¢ $13 7m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 1 BUY Geek Fam ID 40¢ $1 8m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 34¢ $16 12m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 34¢ $1 13m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 54¢ $19 15m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 64¢ $5 21m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 64¢ $5 21m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 64¢ $5 21m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 64¢ $0 21m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 64¢ $5 21m
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $48 23m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 26m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 62¢ $16 28m
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League S BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $63 39m
Rainbow Six Siege: Can You Be My Enemy vs SCARZ (BO1) - Asia Pacific L BUY Can You Be My Enemy 11¢ $57 45m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $8 45m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $0 48m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $7 51m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $1 51m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 57m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 59m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League S SELL Four Angry Men 53¢ $270 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-34.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 397 -60.0% -63.8% 15% 9% -48.4%
≤30d 684 -27.5% -34.4% 27% 15% -23.5%
≤90d 684 -27.5% -34.4% 27% 15% -23.5%
all 684 -27.5% -34.4% 27% 15% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.4% 15% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.7% 11% -30.8%
15% -46.4% 7% -37.5%
20% -51.7% 6% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,093.86 · official $7,086.90 (match) · 3500 history records