trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -19.4% | -27.1% | 50% | 50% | -32.3% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 75% | 60% | -12.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 75% | 60% | -12.4% |
| all | 20 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 75% | 60% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.2% | 60% | -12.4% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 25% | -20.7% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 5% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 5% | -35.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Weightlifter" or "Weightlifting" during June 24 Rally? | Jun 25 | $235 | +$258 | +110% |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? | Jun 25 | $332 | −$330 | -99% |
| Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05? | Jun 24 | $753 | +$97 | +13% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" during June 24 Rally? | Jun 24 | $481 | −$476 | -99% |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election | Jun 19 | $677 | +$21 | +3% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day | Jun 19 | $116 | −$115 | -99% |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? | Jun 18 | $690 | +$73 | +10% |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $200 | +$43 | +22% |
| Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $201 | +$29 | +14% |
| Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $44 | +$9 | +20% |
| Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m? | Jun 15 | $619 | +$210 | +34% |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz | Jun 15 | $80 | +$26 | +32% |
| Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn | Jun 09 | $252 | +$81 | +32% |
| Will Apple announce all six next-generation operating systems during t | Jun 08 | $68 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple W | Jun 08 | $42 | +$10 | +24% |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Wisconsin events? | Jun 06 | $324 | +$44 | +14% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events? | Jun 05 | $335 | −$334 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events? | Jun 05 | $171 | −$169 | -99% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang | Jun 04 | $751 | +$155 | +21% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% | Jun 04 | $750 | +$142 | +19% |