trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 31 | $772 | −$772 | -100% |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | Mar 31 | $101 | +$51 | +51% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mar 31 | $1,626 | +$1,385 | +85% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Mar 26 | $1,588 | −$1,588 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Mar 26 | $5,414 | −$5,410 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Jazz | Mar 25 | $3,693 | +$923 | +25% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Mar 23 | $1,157 | −$1,157 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 23 | $1,397 | −$1,397 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Mar 23 | $3,365 | −$3,365 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 23 | $644 | −$644 | -100% |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19? | Mar 23 | $2 | +$2 | +89% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19? | Mar 23 | $882 | +$1,078 | +122% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Mar 23 | $1,815 | +$1,261 | +70% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 23 | $880 | −$880 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Mar 23 | $1,954 | −$1,954 | -100% |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19? | Mar 23 | $1,832 | −$1,832 | -100% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Mar 23 | $1,529 | +$1,456 | +95% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Mar 23 | $1,505 | +$1,492 | +99% |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats | Mar 23 | $6,756 | −$1,946 | -29% |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07? | Mar 01 | $1,120 | −$1,120 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Rockets | Mar 01 | $1,921 | −$1,921 | -100% |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08? | Mar 01 | $1,151 | −$1,151 | -100% |
| Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougars | Mar 01 | $1,482 | −$1,482 | -100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans | Mar 01 | $455 | +$404 | +89% |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07? | Mar 01 | $1,050 | +$895 | +85% |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-08? | Mar 01 | $1,077 | +$882 | +82% |
| Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-09? | Mar 01 | $1,120 | +$880 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Mar 01 | $2,833 | +$1,048 | +37% |
| Nets vs. Magic | Mar 01 | $3,131 | +$989 | +32% |
| Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX? | Mar 01 | $2,938 | +$1,322 | +45% |
| Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX? | Mar 01 | $2,939 | +$1,320 | +45% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Feb 28 | $2,270 | −$2,270 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 28 | $2,964 | +$1,332 | +45% |
| Bulls vs. Raptors | Feb 06 | $2,697 | +$1,049 | +39% |
| 76ers vs. Lakers | Feb 06 | $4,743 | +$1,306 | +28% |
| Cavaliers vs. Clippers | Feb 05 | $2,428 | −$590 | -24% |
| Celtics vs. Rockets | Feb 05 | $2,222 | −$2,222 | -100% |
| Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-04? | Feb 05 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Feb 05 | $1,657 | −$1,657 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04? | Feb 05 | $871 | −$871 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Feb 05 | $12,009 | −$1,018 | -8% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04? | Feb 05 | $2,002 | +$527 | +26% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | Feb 05 | $1,947 | +$649 | +33% |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | Feb 05 | $1,719 | +$1,351 | +79% |
| Pelicans vs. Bucks | Feb 05 | $1,167 | +$2,074 | +178% |
| Nuggets vs. Knicks | Feb 05 | $2,284 | +$1,125 | +49% |
| 76ers vs. Warriors | Feb 04 | $8,096 | −$1,764 | -22% |
| Rockets vs. Pacers | Feb 04 | $4,410 | −$999 | -23% |
| LG Sakers vs. Wonju DB Promy | Feb 04 | $229 | −$229 | -100% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02? | Feb 04 | $935 | −$935 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 19 | -20.7% | -28.2% | 42% | 42% | -42.1% |
| all | 454 | +9.0% | -1.4% | 50% | 50% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -1.4% | 50% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -10.9% | 49% | -16.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -19.5% | 41% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -27.4% | 33% | -32.1% |