Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:51:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb789…5b35 crypto 472 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate97%457W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day24.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$4
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +0.8% -8.8% 97% 6% -8.3%
≤30d 471 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 5% -9.9%
≤90d 471 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 5% -9.9%
all 471 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 5% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 5% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 1% -18.6%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses457 / 14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)471 / 472
History coverage19d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 471 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 10 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.14 · official $5.96 (match) · 973 history records