Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:43:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb791…e27f crypto 241 markets active 4h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (175 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$385 (+5%) realized +$385 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate36%86W / 155L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day174.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (175 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 241 -11.8% -20.2% 36% 33% -8.7%
≤30d 241 -11.8% -20.2% 36% 33% -8.7%
≤90d 241 -11.8% -20.2% 36% 33% -8.7%
all 241 -11.8% -20.2% 36% 33% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover174.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 33% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 29% -17.4%
15% -34.8% 26% -25.4%
20% -41.2% 22% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$46 vs −$25 · ×1.83 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$385
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses86 / 155
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage6d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day174.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 241 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$13 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$17 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$13 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$38 +463%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$100 +600%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $90 +$254 +283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $62 +$148 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$115 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$8 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$96 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $24 +$20 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$17 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$84 +206%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $72 +$35 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$16 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$6 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $6 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1214 history records