Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:47:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb798…37ca
crypto · 1976 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$310 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1265 / 501
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1766 / 1976
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day166.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1766 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$543
7 days−$484
14 days−$87
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 56¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$508
world 0% +$2
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 665 -31.9% -38.4% 49% 47% -48.4%
≤30d 1766 +5.3% -4.7% 72% 70% -12.6%
≤90d 1766 +5.3% -4.7% 72% 70% -12.6%
all 1766 +5.3% -4.7% 72% 70% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 70% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 60% -21.0%
15% -22.1% 46% -28.6%
20% -29.8% 30% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.71 · official $3.55 (match) · 3500 history records