Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb79a…f24f
sports · 13 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$11 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 6 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 52¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 65¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Son Heungmin: 2+ shots Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$11
sports 41% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +6.0% -4.1% 71% 43% +23.1%
≤30d 7 +6.0% -4.1% 71% 43% +23.1%
≤90d 7 +6.0% -4.1% 71% 43% +23.1%
all 7 +6.0% -4.1% 71% 43% +23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 43% +23.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 43% +11.3%
15% -21.6% 29% +0.6%
20% -29.3% 14% -9.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.57 · official $22.57 (match) · 26 history records