Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7a6…f48b
sports · 616 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$730 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$627 · open −$113
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$76
Realized−$627
Unrealized−$113
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses283 / 331
Est. fees paid−$227
Open positions2
Markets (closed)614 / 616
History coverage417d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 2 History 614 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days−$32
14 days+$259
30 days−$2,228
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 79¢ 38¢ $161 $76 −$85 (-53%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 33¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $168 −$6 -3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $39 +$20 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $60 +$40 +67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $38 −$10 -26%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $48 −$47 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $83 −$39 -47%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 08 $126 −$106 -84%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $59 −$59 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $71 −$27 -39%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $40 +$39 +98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $20 +$22 +108%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $62 +$75 +120%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $54 +$42 +78%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $29 +$25 +88%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 4 Winner May 31 $23 +$6 +25%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $88 +$31 +36%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Q May 31 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $71 +$22 +31%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner May 31 $215 +$33 +15%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $48 +$8 +16%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 31 $369 +$29 +8%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $52 −$23 -44%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $166 +$85 +51%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in May 30 $60 +$44 +73%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner May 30 $146 +$31 +21%
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Pla May 30 $151 −$44 -29%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner May 30 $37 +$64 +174%
Will Scotland vs. Curaçao end in a draw? May 30 $57 −$56 -100%
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $66 +$50 +76%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 P May 30 $56 −$29 -51%
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main May 30 $29 +$5 +17%
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) May 30 $52 −$2 -5%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualif May 30 $68 +$43 +63%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters E May 30 $133 −$6 -4%
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, P May 30 $39 −$39 -100%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw? May 30 $39 −$18 -47%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $71 +$39 +55%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Q May 30 $86 +$72 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 30 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw? May 30 $48 +$53 +112%
Will Ehime FC vs. Roasso Kumamoto end in a draw? May 30 $48 −$30 -64%
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Straww May 30 $22 +$13 +60%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? May 30 $140 +$29 +21%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 30 $81 −$81 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies May 30 $110 −$110 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 30 $81 +$29 +35%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 3 Winner May 30 $105 −$24 -23%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner May 30 $87 +$25 +29%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 30 $64 +$9 +14%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner May 30 $68 +$19 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$684
crypto 15% −$187
other 4% +$151
politics 0% −$5
world 0% −$12
culture 0% +$1
economics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 78¢ $1 51m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 79¢ $161 53m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 67¢ $162 54m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $99 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $69 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 79¢ $37 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 27¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $59 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 58¢ $28 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 27¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $39 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $60 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $38 5h
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 45¢ $48 4d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 52¢ $100 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 8¢ $40 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 12¢ $4 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL BIG 95¢ $44 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 84¢ $39 4d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie SELL Virtus.pro 43¢ $20 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Legacy 44¢ $21 4d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 55¢ $26 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Legacy 45¢ $22 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 71¢ $71 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL TYLOO 79¢ $78 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 100¢ $42 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 47¢ $20 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $22 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +14.9% +3.9% 50% 50% -12.7%
≤30d 208 -47.2% -52.3% 29% 26% -27.4%
≤90d 328 -19.5% -27.2% 43% 40% -16.5%
all 614 -9.9% -18.5% 46% 43% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 43% -12.0%
10% -26.3% 39% -20.4%
15% -33.4% 35% -28.1%
20% -39.9% 29% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $76.47 · official $76.47 (match) · 1579 history records