Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:05:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7ab…16d0
sports · 436 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$11,495 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,604 · open −$109
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,634
Realized+$11,604
Unrealized−$109
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses298 / 118
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$680
Open positions20
Markets (closed)416 / 436
History coverage9d
Avg bet$156
Trades / day350.0
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 20 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,793
7 days+$6,337
14 days+$11,604
30 days+$11,604
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) INOX Division 55¢ 50¢ $1,228 $1,137 −$91 (-7%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 70¢ 100¢ $256 $365 +$109 (+43%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 37¢ $344 $205 −$139 (-40%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 63¢ 40¢ $306 $192 −$114 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 52¢ 100¢ $73 $141 +$68 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 58¢ 60¢ $120 $125 +$5 (+4%)
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) PARIVISION 63¢ 40¢ $141 $91 −$50 (-35%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 67¢ 100¢ $60 $89 +$29 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 74¢ 100¢ $53 $71 +$18 (+34%)
Game Handicap: the bug (-1.5) vs NA, we'd win (+1.5) the bug 93¢ 100¢ $63 $68 +$4 (+7%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs the bug 95¢ 100¢ $60 $63 +$3 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 53¢ 70¢ $18 $24 +$6 (+33%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 31¢ 30¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-5%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 85¢ 100¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+18%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 63¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+20%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+108%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A MARKandLARRY 16¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+525%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 82¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 14¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 45¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner GenOne 58¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) FURIA 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: Abyssal (-1.5) vs MARKandLARRY (+1.5) Abyssal 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$9 +96%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,305 +$1,635 +50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $72 +$6 +9%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $142 −$71 -50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $111 +$27 +24%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$27 +30%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +188%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $68 +$15 +22%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $302 +$16 +5%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $344 +$95 +28%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $226 −$7 -3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $56 +$3 +6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $721 +$58 +8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $134 +$40 +30%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $8 +$4 +50%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $49 +$3 +7%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) Jun 11 $316 +$86 +27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $109 +$56 +51%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $55 +$2 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $40 −$28 -69%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $184 +$5 +3%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$12 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $130 +$7 +6%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $21 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$8 -16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $169 +$32 +19%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $377 +$295 +78%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $103 −$36 -35%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $182 −$83 -46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $85 −$81 -95%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $201 +$50 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $125 −$23 -19%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $6 +$3 +48%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $28 +$7 +24%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 −$8 -20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $33 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $414 +$197 +48%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5) Jun 11 $202 +$154 +76%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $68 +$50 +74%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $157 +$22 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $125 −$22 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$11,495
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 2m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 2m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $5 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 49¢ $2 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 49¢ $2 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $8 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $11 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 57¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $4 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $14 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 62¢ $7 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 64¢ $18 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 32¢ $9 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 31¢ $3 6m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $2 11m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $1 11m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $7 11m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $5 13m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 49¢ $2 13m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 43¢ $1 16m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $5 17m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 50¢ $2 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 60¢ $11 19m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 64¢ $4 20m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 67¢ $2 20m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 67¢ $2 20m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 69¢ $4 20m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 37¢ $2 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 +10.7% +0.2% 71% 59% +1.3%
≤30d 416 +14.5% +3.6% 72% 59% +6.7%
≤90d 416 +14.5% +3.6% 72% 59% +6.7%
all 416 +14.5% +3.6% 72% 59% +6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover350.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.6% 59% +6.7%
10% ← realistic here -6.3% 49% -3.6%
15% -15.4% 37% -12.9%
20% -23.7% 22% -21.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,633.74 · official $2,633.74 (match) · 3500 history records