Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:25:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7ae…4438
other · 114 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses9 / 105
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage124d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Celtics vs. Lakers Lakers 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Lakers Lakers 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Thunder Celtics 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Heat Bucks 30¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. 76ers Grizzlies 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $22 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $20 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $170 $0 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 07 $23 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 06 $183 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $29 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $24 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 24 $122 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 23 $145 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 22 $171 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 21 $137 $0 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 21 $297 $0 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 16 $253 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 15 $267 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $181 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 11 $138 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 11 $133 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 10 $138 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 10 $155 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 09 $329 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $134 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $426 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $308 $0 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $155 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 17 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 17 $167 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 17 $167 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 16 $169 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 16 $181 $0 -0%
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 16 $169 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 16 $171 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $650 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $126 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? Apr 14 $185 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $129 $0 -0%
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 13 $170 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 13 $163 $0 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Apr 12 $129 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $360 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $175 $0 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 08 $147 $0 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 07 $170 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 07 $142 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $345 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $147 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 06 $455 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $337 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 06 $341 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 05 $354 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 05 $143 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$10
politics 27% −$6
sports 15% $0
crypto 3% −$1
tech 2% $0
economics 2% $0
culture 1% $0
world 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $22 1h
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $22 3d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $20 3d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $20 5d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $25 5d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $25 5d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $23 5d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $23 5d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $23 6d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $23 7d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $29 13d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $29 13d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $24 13d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $24 14d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $122 19d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $122 19d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $145 20d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $145 20d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $171 21d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $171 22d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $137 22d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $137 22d
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $147 22d
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $147 25d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $127 27d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $127 27d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $128 28d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $128 30d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $181 30d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $181 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 83 -0.1% -9.6% 1% 0% -9.6%
all 114 -1.4% -10.8% 8% 5% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 5% -9.6%
10% -19.3% 4% -18.3%
15% -27.1% 3% -26.2%
20% -34.3% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 327 history records