Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:33:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7d5…066a
crypto · 1041 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$525 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$525 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$525
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses397 / 830
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1227 / 1041
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day244.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$448
7 days−$446
14 days−$533
30 days−$525
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 24¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 15¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 31¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 29¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 64¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 11¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-33.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 603 -47.3% -52.3% 20% 17% -51.6%
≤30d 1227 -26.0% -33.1% 32% 28% -29.5%
≤90d 1227 -26.0% -33.1% 32% 28% -29.5%
all 1227 -26.0% -33.1% 32% 28% -29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover244.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.1% 28% -29.5%
10% ← realistic here -39.5% 23% -36.2%
15% -45.3% 18% -42.4%
20% -50.7% 14% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records