Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:34:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb7e2…826c sports 187 markets active 2d ago coverage 226d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$37,845 (-10%) realized −$37,845 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate43%80W / 107L
Whale WR57%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2,014per market
Trades / day3.1pace
Fees−$448est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$79
7 days−$3,556
14 days−$2,553
30 days−$4,648
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$47,235
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -22.6% -29.9% 30% 30% -26.1%
≤30d 19 -31.6% -38.1% 26% 26% -24.0%
≤90d 57 -19.3% -27.0% 44% 35% -11.9%
all 187 -20.0% -27.6% 43% 38% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.6% 38% -20.5%
10% -34.6% 36% -28.1%
15% -40.9% 29% -35.0%
20% -46.7% 26% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 57% (≥$2,739) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -24% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,374 vs −$1,469 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

226d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$37,845
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses80 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$448
Open positions0
Markets (closed)187 / 187
History coverage226d
Avg bet$2,014
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 187 Trades
no open positions (92 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La Jun 15 $307 +$79 +26%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $308 −$1 -0%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $202 −$200 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $87 +$103 +119%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $401 −$393 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $113 −$111 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $1,996 −$1,075 -54%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $4,070 +$2,150 +53%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $5,178 −$1,728 -33%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $6,703 −$2,381 -36%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $640 −$245 -38%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $142 −$139 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,826 +$1,564 +86%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $2,005 −$178 -9%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $4 +$5 +149%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 25 $1,166 −$1,144 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 25 $496 −$1 -0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Gro May 20 $985 −$946 -96%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner May 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs SPARTA (BO3) Apr 25 $1 $0 +49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $1 +$1 +52%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $4 −$1 -29%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $103 −$100 -97%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $7 +$9 +124%
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner Apr 22 $302 −$293 -97%
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner Apr 22 $1,496 −$1,494 -100%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Apr 22 $299 −$294 -98%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 22 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 10 $964 −$948 -98%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Apr 04 $1,746 −$1,708 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Apr 04 $2,462 −$694 -28%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner Apr 04 $461 −$434 -94%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Apr 04 $1,695 +$1,088 +64%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner Apr 04 $1,161 −$202 -17%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Mar 29 $2,163 −$2,163 -100%
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner Mar 29 $1,881 +$26 +1%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Mar 29 $1,499 −$1,499 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Mar 29 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Mar 28 $2,001 +$49 +2%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Mar 28 $1,001 +$1,888 +189%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Mar 28 $1,543 +$1,835 +119%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Mar 28 $500 −$454 -91%
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Mar 28 $2,000 +$630 +32%
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Mar 28 $3,136 +$230 +7%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Mar 28 $3,065 +$2,072 +68%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Mar 28 $700 −$700 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Mar 28 $3,055 +$110 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Mar 28 $2,974 +$681 +23%
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 28 $2,126 +$849 +40%
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner Mar 28 $1,632 +$494 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Top Esports Challenger 79¢ $307 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports Challenger 48¢ $307 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports Challenger 47¢ $308 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 76¢ $101 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 73¢ $101 2d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 40¢ $95 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 36¢ $102 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 35¢ $102 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 33¢ $102 6d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 23¢ $102 6d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 11¢ $11 6d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 45¢ $87 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win SELL CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 36¢ $921 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 87¢ $63 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 88¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 88¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 87¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 88¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 89¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 89¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 89¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 82¢ $101 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 67¢ $101 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 88¢ $100 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 88¢ $401 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 82¢ $101 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 76¢ $101 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 44¢ $20 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 50¢ $102 6d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 47¢ $102 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 724 history records