trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 40% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 40% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 23 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 48% | 4% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 4% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 4% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 0% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 0% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 48¢ | 46¢ | $44 | $42 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 08 | $14 | +$1 | +8% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election | Jun 10 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 08 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft buy TikTok? | Jun 06 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | Apr 26 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Apr 11 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 10 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will USC win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament? | Mar 31 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| TikTok sale announced before April? | Mar 24 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | Mar 15 | $14 | $0 | +1% |