Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:52:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7ef…812c
finance · 133 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$20,425 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17,429 · open +$335
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33,398
Realized+$17,429
Unrealized+$335
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses87 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions8
Markets (closed)125 / 133
History coverage43d
Avg bet$2,715
Trades / day78.1
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 8 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$448
7 days+$13,473
14 days+$13,814
30 days+$14,205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 99¢ 99¢ $28,814 $28,989 +$175 (+1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No 95¢ 99¢ $3,086 $3,211 +$125 (+4%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30? No 92¢ 97¢ $534 $563 +$29 (+5%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $289 $296 +$7 (+3%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $263 $254 −$9 (-4%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June? No 72¢ 80¢ $75 $82 +$7 (+10%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? Yes 29¢ 40¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+36%)
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day Up 46¢ 58¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? No 2¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? Jun 13 $243 −$5 -2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? Jun 13 $207 +$19 +9%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 13 $110 +$1 +1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 13 $1,171 −$85 -7%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 13 $57 +$1 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $10,856 +$318 +3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 12 $6,714 +$157 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $28,575 +$264 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $4,523 +$83 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $27,191 +$378 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $704 +$14 +2%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $211 +$114 +54%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $9,255 +$70 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? Jun 12 $2,371 −$881 -37%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 11 $7,352 +$1,115 +15%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 11 $2,735 −$132 -5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June? Jun 11 $4,005 +$71 +2%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $419 −$6 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 11 $2,483 +$220 +9%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 10 $14,398 +$800 +6%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 10 $8,913 +$749 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Jun 10 $2,888 −$774 -27%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $34 −$33 -96%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 08 $5,383 +$129 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Jun 08 $495 −$18 -4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 08 $4,875 −$129 -3%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Jun 07 $22,822 +$11,033 +48%
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the Jun 05 $5 $0 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 05 $836 +$41 +5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Jun 05 $6,055 +$219 +4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Jun 03 $609 +$11 +2%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO Jun 03 $276 −$26 -9%
US x China tariff agreement by June 30? Jun 02 $4 −$1 -32%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $229 +$1 +0%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $279 +$2 +1%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $965 +$84 +9%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? May 31 $1,518 +$10 +1%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026? May 30 $845 +$4 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 29 $100 +$9 +9%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? May 29 $317 −$14 -5%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 29 $208 −$5 -2%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May? May 29 $508 +$41 +8%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $134 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? May 29 $457 +$3 +1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? May 28 $331 +$3 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? May 28 $1,240 −$23 -2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? May 28 $2,044 +$79 +4%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May? May 28 $1,137 +$272 +24%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 28 $4,545 −$29 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 57% +$14,342
tech 25% +$1,344
world 15% +$1,286
other 3% +$803
politics 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June? SELL No 80¢ $169 2h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? SELL Down 54¢ $129 6h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? SELL Down 54¢ $3 10h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? SELL Down 54¢ $3 10h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? SELL Down 54¢ $103 10h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? SELL Yes 25¢ $39 10h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on SELL No 86¢ $43 15h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on SELL No 86¢ $22 16h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on SELL No 86¢ $4 16h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? BUY No 99¢ $18,043 17h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 86¢ $51 17h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 53¢ $41 19h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 70¢ $142 19h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 86¢ $6 20h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 53¢ $9 21h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 53¢ $2 21h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 53¢ $1 21h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 54¢ $12 21h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 55¢ $12 21h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 23h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 92¢ $51 24h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 24h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 69¢ $5 24h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on SELL No 56¢ $29 24h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on SELL Yes 30¢ $68 25h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 52¢ $43 25h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 69¢ $138 25h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 55¢ $25 25h
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day BUY Up 46¢ $0 25h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 52¢ $9 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)+7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -0.7% -10.1% 67% 11% -2.3%
≤30d 95 -2.8% -12.1% 66% 9% -4.1%
≤90d 125 +18.3% +7.0% 70% 12% -3.9%
all 125 +18.3% +7.0% 70% 12% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.0% 12% -3.9%
10% -3.2% 7% -13.1%
15% ← realistic here -12.6% 5% -21.5%
20% -21.1% 4% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33,397.71 · official $33,397.60 (match) · 3500 history records