Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:54:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7f9…6add
crypto · 949 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$39
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses818 / 129
Open positions2
Markets (closed)947 / 949
History coverage10d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day271.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 947 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$73
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 44¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$14 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$5 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 586 -1.3% -10.7% 84% 20% -10.3%
≤30d 947 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 23% -9.8%
≤90d 947 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 23% -9.8%
all 947 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 23% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover271.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 23% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 7% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 2% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 2% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.36 · official $1.91 (match) · 3500 history records