Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:11:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7fd…cc88
other · 8 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,738 +53%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61,863 · open −$695
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$61,863
Unrealized−$695
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses65 / 392
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions45
Markets (closed)457 / 8
History coverage4d
Avg bet$642
Trades / day661.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 45 History 457 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61,322
7 days−$61,863
14 days−$61,863
30 days−$61,863
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? Yes 10¢ 50¢ $2 $10 +$8 (+405%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 32¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+215%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? Yes 10¢ 24¢ $2 $4 +$3 (+145%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 3¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+2900%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes 4¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+2500%)
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $62 $1 −$61 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $62 $1 −$61 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $62 $1 −$61 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $58 $1 −$57 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $58 $1 −$57 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $46 $1 −$46 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 3¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-72%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Yes 4¢ 18¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+381%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 30¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+693%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $0 +$1,108 +2676539%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $0 +$857 +2566655%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $58 −$98 -170%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 14 $118 −$121 -102%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$8 -1043%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $71 −$76 -107%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 14 $103 −$130 -126%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 14 $103 −$183 -178%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Jun 14 $87 −$92 -106%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 14 $20 −$110 -549%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $139 −$182 -131%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $21 −$41 -197%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? Jun 14 $86 −$210 -244%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 14 $2,010 −$2,010 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $15 −$205 -1332%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 14 $252 −$278 -110%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 14 $95 −$87 -91%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 14 $100 −$118 -118%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 14 $132 −$172 -131%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? Jun 14 $52 −$108 -206%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Jun 14 $30 −$90 -301%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 14 $142 −$226 -158%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 14 $82 −$20 -24%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$39 -2532%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $77 −$103 -135%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $52 −$10 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 14 $106 −$114 -107%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 14 $65 −$107 -164%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $144 −$185 -129%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $140 −$181 -130%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $168 −$42 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 14 $108 −$120 -111%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 14 $108 −$114 -105%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 14 $124 −$198 -160%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $179 −$186 -104%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 14 $12 +$142 +1153%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 14 $84 −$75 -89%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $860 −$1,550 -180%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 14 $1 +$700 +90949%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 14 $64 −$117 -183%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 14 $58 +$55 +94%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 14 $1 +$21 +1527%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$22 -1089%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? Jun 14 $47 −$90 -193%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 14 $23 +$20 +88%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 14 $65 +$360 +557%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$4,246
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 29m
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 53m
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 66¢ $13 59m
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 62¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 62¢ $4 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 62¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 62¢ $4 1h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 33¢ $7 1h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 35¢ $7 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $3 2h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 35¢ $7 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 31¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+65.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 457 +83.3% +65.9% 14% 14% -82.0%
≤30d 457 +83.3% +65.9% 14% 14% -82.0%
≤90d 457 +83.3% +65.9% 14% 14% -82.0%
all 457 +83.3% +65.9% 14% 14% -82.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover661.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +65.9% 14% -82.0%
10% ← realistic here +50.0% 14% -83.7%
15% +35.5% 13% -85.3%
20% +22.2% 12% -86.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.31 · official $33.32 (match) · 3500 history records