Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:05:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7ff…df5a
weather · 91 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$202 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$218 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$218
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses33 / 64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)97 / 91
History coverage15d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$205
14 days−$215
30 days−$218
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? No 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on June 11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 30? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on June 11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11? No 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? No 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on June 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on June 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on June 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? Jun 14 $16 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 14? Jun 14 $13 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? Jun 14 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 13? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $62 −$43 -69%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -89%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -68%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 +$12 +272%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $6 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$6 -111%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 11 $3 −$2 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $21 +$5 +23%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -104%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $55 −$53 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $18 +$18 +102%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $42 −$40 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $12 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 10? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 09 $3 +$3 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $16 9m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $16 10m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $16 6h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $16 6h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $7 12h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $7 12h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $7 17h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $7 17h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $5 26h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $7 27h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $7 28h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $6 37h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $7 38h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $7 38h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $7 39h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $6 39h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $7 40h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $7 40h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $7 40h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $7 40h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 23¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $18 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-45.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -44.4% -49.7% 29% 10% -36.9%
≤30d 97 -40.0% -45.7% 34% 19% -33.6%
≤90d 97 -40.0% -45.7% 34% 19% -33.6%
all 97 -40.0% -45.7% 34% 19% -33.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -45.7% 19% -33.6%
10% -50.9% 12% -39.9%
15% -55.7% 10% -45.7%
20% -60.0% 8% -51.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 225 history records