Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb809…2004
sports · 43 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
+$93,417 +34%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$93,479 · open −$62
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,671
Realized+$93,479
Unrealized−$62
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses23 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$2,964
Open positions2
Markets (closed)41 / 43
Avg bet$6,456
Trades / day145.6
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 2 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18,543
7 days+$111,225
14 days+$93,479
30 days+$93,479
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 64¢ 62¢ $1,767 $1,698 −$69 (-4%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 69¢ $966 $973 +$7 (+1%)
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? No 57¢ 0¢ $7,665 $0 −$7,665 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $1,857 $0 −$1,857 (-100%)
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $2,560 $0 −$2,560 (-100%)
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1,272 $0 −$1,272 (-100%)
England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Yes 35¢ 0¢ $9,194 $0 −$9,194 (-100%)
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $1,890 $0 −$1,890 (-100%)
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $1,516 $0 −$1,516 (-100%)
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $9,805 $0 −$9,805 (-100%)
Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata: O/U 1.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $4,472 $0 −$4,472 (-100%)
IK Oddevold vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $24,020 $0 −$24,020 (-100%)
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $3,109 $0 −$3,109 (-100%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? No 63¢ 0¢ $2,740 $0 −$2,740 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $8,949 $0 −$8,949 (-100%)
Sagan Tosu vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $263 $0 −$263 (-100%)
Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 56¢ 0¢ $3,016 $0 −$3,016 (-100%)
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $10,007 $0 −$10,007 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 11 $13,428 +$18,543 +138%
IK Oddevold vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $36 −$36 -100%
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $9,858 −$9,805 -100%
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-06-06? Jun 08 $2 +$3 +140%
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $5,952 +$6,181 +104%
Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $4,515 −$4,472 -99%
Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $11 +$4 +35%
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $23 +$29 +127%
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $46 +$29 +64%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $64 +$27 +42%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 07 $3,525 +$3,975 +113%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $9,047 +$3,346 +37%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $13,171 +$7,422 +56%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 07 $12,889 +$12,658 +98%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $14,538 +$12,185 +84%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 07 $34,816 +$37,594 +108%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $8,949 −$8,949 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 06 $1,272 −$1,272 -100%
England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $9,266 −$9,194 -99%
Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $3,039 −$3,016 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1,857 −$1,857 -100%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2,560 −$2,560 -100%
Sagan Tosu vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $263 −$263 -100%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $1,516 −$1,516 -100%
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $24,136 −$24,020 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $7,703 −$7,665 -100%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $1,689 −$1,461 -86%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 06 $220 +$73 +33%
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $2,049 +$1,196 +58%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $3,562 +$2,644 +74%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 06 $3,230 +$3,351 +104%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2,700 +$4,800 +178%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $7,162 +$3,805 +53%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 06 $7,609 +$11,268 +148%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $12,161 +$8,686 +71%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 06 $5,179 +$16,723 +323%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $28,981 +$32,767 +113%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $3,110 −$3,109 -100%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score Jun 04 $1,890 −$1,890 -100%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $10,105 −$10,007 -99%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $2,740 −$2,740 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% +$123,452
other 28% −$46,758
crypto 2% +$16,723
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 63¢ $3 37h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 63¢ $5 37h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 63¢ $2 38h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $272 40h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $21 40h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $19 40h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $179 40h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $342 41h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $62 41h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $390 45h
IK Oddevold vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $36 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $7 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $58 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $7 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $49 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $7 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +24.7% +12.9% 62% 62% +29.7%
≤30d 41 +12.6% +1.8% 56% 56% +21.3%
≤90d 41 +12.6% +1.8% 56% 56% +21.3%
all 41 +12.6% +1.8% 56% 56% +21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.8% 56% +21.3%
10% -7.9% 56% +9.7%
15% ← realistic here -16.8% 51% -0.9%
20% -25.0% 46% -10.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,670.84 · official $2,670.98 (match) · 1222 history records