Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb80c…71f1
other · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)7 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit27%
Chart Positions 8 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 13¢ 19¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 16¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Yes 13¢ 15¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 +$3 +14%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$2 +12%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $1 +$4 +360%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% −$9
sports 26% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $29 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $19 6h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 88¢ $13 7h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 88¢ $4 7h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr SELL Ilbirs eSports 99¢ $5 7h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 21¢ $1 8h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 11h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $25 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -2.0% -11.3% 43% 43% -15.6%
≤30d 7 -2.0% -11.3% 43% 43% -15.6%
≤90d 7 -2.0% -11.3% 43% 43% -15.6%
all 7 -2.0% -11.3% 43% 43% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 43% -15.6%
10% -19.8% 14% -23.7%
15% -27.6% 14% -31.1%
20% -34.7% 14% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.59 · official $21.59 (match) · 19 history records